In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability to win, reflecting his 22% lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll of the August 18 nonpartisan blanket primary, where top-four advance to November's ranked-choice general election. Bernadette Wilson follows at 14%, buoyed by early GOP polling strength and grassroots visibility, while ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (11%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%) benefit from six-figure early fundraising amid a fragmented Republican field of over 10 contenders. Begich's edge stems from broad Alaskan donor support and recent Southeast tour stops emphasizing education and housing; GOP vote consolidation via endorsements or debates could elevate Wilson or Taylor, while new polls before June filing may shift dynamics in this closely contested primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$379,344 Vol.
$379,344 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
7%
トレグ・テイラー
11%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$379,344 Vol.
$379,344 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
7%
トレグ・テイラー
11%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability to win, reflecting his 22% lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll of the August 18 nonpartisan blanket primary, where top-four advance to November's ranked-choice general election. Bernadette Wilson follows at 14%, buoyed by early GOP polling strength and grassroots visibility, while ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (11%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%) benefit from six-figure early fundraising amid a fragmented Republican field of over 10 contenders. Begich's edge stems from broad Alaskan donor support and recent Southeast tour stops emphasizing education and housing; GOP vote consolidation via endorsements or debates could elevate Wilson or Taylor, while new polls before June filing may shift dynamics in this closely contested primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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