With incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 has produced a fragmented field, elevating Democrat Tom Begich to a slim 25% trader consensus lead on his recent polling edge around 21-22% in the first round of ranked-choice voting simulations. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21%) and former Attorney General Treg Taylor (18%) trail closely amid a crowded Republican slate splitting support, as February fundraising reports highlighted Begich's $350,000 grassroots haul against Taylor's $880,000 (partly self-funded) and others' six-figure starts without a breakout. The race remains tight pending June 1 filing deadline, endorsements from Dunleavy allies, fresh polls, or withdrawals that could consolidate GOP votes for top-four advancement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 15%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
トレグ・テイラー 8.2%
$385,178 Vol.
$385,178 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
22%
エドナ・デブリーズ
8%
トレグ・テイラー
17%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
8%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
4%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 15%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
トレグ・テイラー 8.2%
$385,178 Vol.
$385,178 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
22%
エドナ・デブリーズ
8%
トレグ・テイラー
17%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
8%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
4%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 has produced a fragmented field, elevating Democrat Tom Begich to a slim 25% trader consensus lead on his recent polling edge around 21-22% in the first round of ranked-choice voting simulations. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21%) and former Attorney General Treg Taylor (18%) trail closely amid a crowded Republican slate splitting support, as February fundraising reports highlighted Begich's $350,000 grassroots haul against Taylor's $880,000 (partly self-funded) and others' six-figure starts without a breakout. The race remains tight pending June 1 filing deadline, endorsements from Dunleavy allies, fresh polls, or withdrawals that could consolidate GOP votes for top-four advancement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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