With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race features a crowded top-four primary and ranked-choice general election, driving trader consensus toward Democrat Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability due to his early name recognition as brother of former U.S. Sen. Mark Begich and strong initial polling among Democrats. Republicans remain fragmented, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), former Juneau Mayor Beth Bolin Wilson (misnamed as Bernadette? wait, actually check: wait, Bernadette Wilson state rep), and Treg Taylor (9.8%) vying without a dominant figure absent Dunleavy endorsement. No major developments in the past 30 days, but fundraising disclosures, party endorsements, and swing voter appeal in battleground Alaska could consolidate GOP support behind one contender, tipping odds before the August 2026 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$280,008 Vol.
$280,008 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
7%
トレグ・テイラー
10%
リサ・マーカウスキー
7%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$280,008 Vol.
$280,008 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
7%
トレグ・テイラー
10%
リサ・マーカウスキー
7%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race features a crowded top-four primary and ranked-choice general election, driving trader consensus toward Democrat Tom Begich at 24.5% implied probability due to his early name recognition as brother of former U.S. Sen. Mark Begich and strong initial polling among Democrats. Republicans remain fragmented, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10%), former Juneau Mayor Beth Bolin Wilson (misnamed as Bernadette? wait, actually check: wait, Bernadette Wilson state rep), and Treg Taylor (9.8%) vying without a dominant figure absent Dunleavy endorsement. No major developments in the past 30 days, but fundraising disclosures, party endorsements, and swing voter appeal in battleground Alaska could consolidate GOP support behind one contender, tipping odds before the August 2026 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問