Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple at a 64.5% implied probability to hold second-largest market capitalization by April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.66 trillion valuation—$345 billion ahead of Alphabet's $3.31 trillion—behind Nvidia's dominant $4.07 trillion lead driven by unrelenting AI chip demand. Recent daily gains across the Magnificent Seven (Apple +1.6%, Alphabet +2.5%, Nvidia +2.2%) underscore tech sector resilience amid broader equity rallies, though Apple's YTD decline of nearly 10% from 2025 highs has narrowed gaps before stabilizing via services revenue and AI features like enhanced Siri. Alphabet's cloud and ad momentum trails, positioning upside risks; key Q1 earnings from Apple and Alphabet in late April could sway trajectories, with Nvidia's May report as a #1 retention catalyst. Microsoft ($2.65T) and others lag substantially.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Apple 65%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 8.4%
Microsoft 1.0%
$697,130 Vol.
$697,130 Vol.

Apple
65%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
8%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Apple 65%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 8.4%
Microsoft 1.0%
$697,130 Vol.
$697,130 Vol.

Apple
65%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
8%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple at a 64.5% implied probability to hold second-largest market capitalization by April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.66 trillion valuation—$345 billion ahead of Alphabet's $3.31 trillion—behind Nvidia's dominant $4.07 trillion lead driven by unrelenting AI chip demand. Recent daily gains across the Magnificent Seven (Apple +1.6%, Alphabet +2.5%, Nvidia +2.2%) underscore tech sector resilience amid broader equity rallies, though Apple's YTD decline of nearly 10% from 2025 highs has narrowed gaps before stabilizing via services revenue and AI features like enhanced Siri. Alphabet's cloud and ad momentum trails, positioning upside risks; key Q1 earnings from Apple and Alphabet in late April could sway trajectories, with Nvidia's May report as a #1 retention catalyst. Microsoft ($2.65T) and others lag substantially.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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