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Politique·Primaires

Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de Californie ?

Market icon
Politique·Primaires

Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de Californie ?

$79,961 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$79,961 Vol.

Polymarket

Eric Swalwell

$10,248 Vol.

73%

Steve Hilton

$3,949 Vol.

57%

Elaine Culotti

$0 Vol.

46%

Chad Bianco

$0 Vol.

36%

Tom Steyer

$17,265 Vol.

28%

Matt Mahan

$9,368 Vol.

21%

Katie Porter

$0 Vol.

18%

Xavier Becerra

$0 Vol.

8%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,260 Vol.

7%

Betty Yee

$0 Vol.

6%

Ché Ahn

$14,574 Vol.

6%

Tony Thurmond

$0 Vol.

5%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

4%

Ryan Tillman

$757 Vol.

3%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,446 Vol.

3%

Dylan Colbert

$4,778 Vol.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$0 Vol.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$0 Vol.

3%

Derek Grasty

$0 Vol.

3%

Leo Zacky

$0 Vol.

2%

David Serpa

$0 Vol.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

12%

Leonard Jackson

$0 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$0 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$0 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$0 Vol.

2%

Kyle Langford

$0 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$0 Vol.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$5,315 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$0 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$0 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$0 Vol.

1%

Ian Calderon

$0 Vol.

1%

David Thelen

$0 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$0 Vol.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary system for the June 2026 gubernatorial election, Democratic former Rep. Katie Porter leads early polling as the likely frontrunner to advance alongside a fellow Democrat, given the state's partisan leanings. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-October shows Porter at 19%, state schools chief Tony Thurmond at 13%, and ex-Attorney General Xavier Becerra at 11%, with Republicans like Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco trailing at 6%. Porter's edge stems from strong fundraising—over $4 million raised—and her statewide name recognition post-Senate bid, amid a crowded Democratic field of over a dozen candidates since Gov. Gavin Newsom ruled out a third term. No major shifts in the past week; traders should watch March 2026 filing deadlines, further polls, and potential high-profile entries that could consolidate support.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$79,961
Date de fin
Jun 2, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary system for the June 2026 gubernatorial election, Democratic former Rep. Katie Porter leads early polling as the likely frontrunner to advance alongside a fellow Democrat, given the state's partisan leanings. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-October shows Porter at 19%, state schools chief Tony Thurmond at 13%, and ex-Attorney General Xavier Becerra at 11%, with Republicans like Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco trailing at 6%. Porter's edge stems from strong fundraising—over $4 million raised—and her statewide name recognition post-Senate bid, amid a crowded Democratic field of over a dozen candidates since Gov. Gavin Newsom ruled out a third term. No major shifts in the past week; traders should watch March 2026 filing deadlines, further polls, and potential high-profile entries that could consolidate support.

In California's top-two primary system for the June 2026 gubernatorial election, Democratic former Rep. Katie Porter leads early polling as the likely frontrunner to advance alongside a fellow Democrat, given the state's partisan leanings. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-October shows Porter at 19%, state schools chief Tony Thurmond at 13%, and ex-Attorney General Xavier Becerra at 11%, with Republicans like Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco trailing at 6%. Porter's edge stems from strong fundraising—over $4 million raised—and her statewide name recognition post-Senate bid, amid a crowded Democratic field of over a dozen candidates since Gov. Gavin Newsom ruled out a third term. No major shifts in the past week; traders should watch March 2026 filing deadlines, further polls, and potential high-profile entries that could consolidate support.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de Californie ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 36 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eric Swalwell » à 73%, suivi de « Steve Hilton » à 57%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 73¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de Californie ? » a généré $80K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de Californie ? », parcourez les 36 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de Californie ? » est « Eric Swalwell » à 73%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Steve Hilton » à 57%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui va avancer de la primaire du gouverneur de Californie ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.