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Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?

Market icon

Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?

Russie unie (ER) 78%

Nouvelles Personnes (NL) 15.0%

Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 5.5%

Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,149,352 Vol.

Russie unie (ER) 78%

Nouvelles Personnes (NL) 15.0%

Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 5.5%

Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,149,352 Vol.

Market icon

Russie unie (ER)

$1,033,705 Vol.

78%

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Nouvelles Personnes (NL)

$237,167 Vol.

15%

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Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)

$208,633 Vol.

6%

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Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)

$172,098 Vol.

2%

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Rodina

$155,707 Vol.

<1%

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Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)

$195,427 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Plateforme Civique (PC)

$146,617 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$2,149,352
Date de fin
Sep 30, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Russie unie (ER)" at 78%, followed by "Nouvelles Personnes (NL)" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?" is "Russie unie (ER)" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nouvelles Personnes (NL)" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quel parti remportera le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires russes ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.