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Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 1er avril ?

Market icon

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 1er avril ?

1,22 - 1,24 M 100.0%

<1,1M <1%

1,1 - 1,12 M <1%

1,12 - 1,14 M <1%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

1,22 - 1,24 M 100.0%

<1,1M <1%

1,1 - 1,12 M <1%

1,12 - 1,14 M <1%

Polymarket

$19,840 Vol.

<1,1M

$851 Vol.

Non

1,1 - 1,12 M

$570 Vol.

Non

1,12 - 1,14 M

$560 Vol.

Non

1,14 - 1,16 M

$951 Vol.

Non

1,16 - 1,18 M

$2,181 Vol.

Non

1,18 - 1,2 M

$1,266 Vol.

Non

1,2 - 1,22 M

$7,247 Vol.

Non

1,22 - 1,24 M

$3,391 Vol.

Oui

>1,24 M

$2,824 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at a 100% implied probability for Miami's median home value falling in the $1.22-1.24 million range per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, the official resolution source, following its latest data release as of April 1, 2026. This strong positioning reflects real capital alignment with the confirmed index reading amid Miami's housing market resilience, where Redfin-reported median sale prices surged 11.3% year-over-year to $724,000 in February, driven by robust single-family demand and a 5% median price gain per Miami Realtors' February figures. Broader Florida declines contrast with local strength from buyer influx and limited inventory. Realistic challenges—such as oracle disputes or rare data revisions—remain improbable given the skin-in-the-game pricing and imminent resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Volume
$19,840
Date de fin
1 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at a 100% implied probability for Miami's median home value falling in the $1.22-1.24 million range per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, the official resolution source, following its latest data release as of April 1, 2026. This strong positioning reflects real capital alignment with the confirmed index reading amid Miami's housing market resilience, where Redfin-reported median sale prices surged 11.3% year-over-year to $724,000 in February, driven by robust single-family demand and a 5% median price gain per Miami Realtors' February figures. Broader Florida declines contrast with local strength from buyer influx and limited inventory. Realistic challenges—such as oracle disputes or rare data revisions—remain improbable given the skin-in-the-game pricing and imminent resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Volume
$19,840
Date de fin
1 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 1er avril ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1,22 - 1,24 M » à 100%, suivi de « <1,1M » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 1er avril ? » a généré $19.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 1er avril ? », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 1er avril ? » est « 1,22 - 1,24 M » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <1,1M » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison à Miami le 1er avril ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.