Name: What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
Start: 2024-08-16T23:45:05.893942Z
End: 2024-08-22T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group on what words Kamala Harris will say during her acceptance speech for her nomination as Democratic candidate for President of the United States.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "context" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "context" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the background information that gives meaning to a situation.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "weird "or "weirdo" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "weird "or "weirdo" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who behaves unusually or oddly.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Weird/Weirdo

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word  regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Crypto/Bitcoin

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "abortion" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Abortion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Ukraine" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word  regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Ukraine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Eastern European country.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Ukraine

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Jew" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (i.e. "Jewish" would not count").

Compound words will count as long as "Jew" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who practices Judaism. 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "inflation" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Inflation

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "unburdened" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "unburdened" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to something that has no weight, load, or burden.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Unburdened

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Project 2025" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Project 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Not going back" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Not going back

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Obama" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a member of the Obama family (Barrack, Michele, etc.). 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Obama

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "McDonald's" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to fast food chain 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

McDonald's

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "joy" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Oakland" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word  regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Oakland" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the city on the east side of San Francisco Bay, in California.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Oakland

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Monkeypox" or "Mpox" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Monkeypox" or "Mpox" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the disease. 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Monkeypox

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to hostility or prejudice against Jewish people.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Antisemitism

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "ceasefire" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a temporary suspension of armed conflict.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Ceasefire

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Donald" or "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Donald Trump 5+ times

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "inflation" 3 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Inflation 3+ times

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kamala Harris annoncera-t-elle une candidature à la présidence pour 2028 avant le 30 juin ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Gavin Newsom remportera-t-il la nomination présidentielle démocrate de 2028 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.

Les démocrates gagneront-ils les quatre courses sénatoriales clés ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Stefany Shaheen sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate pour le NH-01 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Andy Levin sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour le MI-11 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio.

If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Sherrod Brown sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat dans l'Ohio ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Delaware.

If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Chris Coons sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat dans le Delaware ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Wesley Bell sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour MO-01 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Ritchie Torres sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour NY-15 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Hillary Clinton between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Elaine Luria sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate pour VA-02 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Mallory McMorrow remportera-t-elle la primaire démocrate du Michigan en 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Janeese Lewis George va-t-elle gagner la primaire démocrate pour la mairie de D.C. en 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Dan Koh sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour le MA-06 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Annie Andrews sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate au Sénat en Caroline du Nord ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Reilly Neill sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate au Sénat dans le Montana ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Peggy Flanagan sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate au Sénat dans le Minnesota ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Shannon Bird sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate pour le CO-08 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner la course au Sénat du Delaware en 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

John Cavanaugh sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour NE-02 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

John Hickenlooper sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat dans le Colorado ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Shri Thanedar sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour MI-13 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Valerie Foushee sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate pour NC-04 ?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

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This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Matthew Dunlap sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour ME-02 ?

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Nate Blouin sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour UT-01 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Ed Markey sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat dans le Massachusetts ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina.

If no 2026 North Carolina Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the North Carolina Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Roy Cooper sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat en Caroline du Nord ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Christy Davis sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate au Sénat dans le Kansas ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Bernie approuvera-t-il Dan Osborn pour NE-Sen avant le 2 novembre 2026 ET ?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.

This market will resolve according to the number of Democratic Senate incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections.

An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason. Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time of their nominating election. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus prior to the conclusion of the relevant nominating election.

The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant nominating elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on official state certification of the nominating election results.

Les titulaires démocrates au Sénat remporteront-ils toutes leurs élections de nomination lors du cycle 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Mark Warner sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat en Virginie ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Micah Lasher sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour NY-12 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

James Talarico sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat au Texas ?

Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Brad Lander sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour NY-10 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Kristi Noem destituée en 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate pour MN-05 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Scott Wiener recevra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la primaire CA-11 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Chris Pappas sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat dans le New Hampshire ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Daniel Biss sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour IL-09 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Kyle Sweetser sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat en Alabama ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Matt Klein sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour MN-02 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Liz Cheney annoncera-t-elle une candidature présidentielle avant 2027 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem ceases to be the Secretary of Homeland Security for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Noem's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kristi Noem écartée d'ici le 31 mars ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Sidney Moore sera-t-il le candidat démocrate pour IL-02 ?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cait Conley sera-t-elle la candidate démocrate pour NY-17 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Mississippi.

If no 2026 Mississippi Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Mississippi Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Scott Colom sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au Sénat dans le Mississippi ?

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Not going back
$247,211 Vol.
Yes

Weird/Weirdo
$186,535 Vol.
No

Abortion
$334,526 Vol.
Yes

Ceasefire
$385,554 Vol.
Yes

Inflation
$28,999 Vol.
No

Inflation 3+ times
$198,452 Vol.
No

Unburdened
$105,623 Vol.
No

Donald Trump 5+ times
$120,578 Vol.
Yes

Jew
$159,905 Vol.
No

Monkeypox
$107,106 Vol.
No

Context
$49,589 Vol.
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$74,732 Vol.
No

Joy
$2,859,508 Vol.
No

Ukraine
$33,917 Vol.
Yes

McDonald's
$38,486 Vol.
No

Project 2025
$101,265 Vol.
Yes

Antisemitism
$23,117 Vol.
No

Obama
$45,647 Vol.
No

Oakland
$93,164 Vol.
Yes

Contexte du Marché

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Règles

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Contexte du Marché

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

À propos

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Not going back$247,211 Vol.Yes

Weird/Weirdo$186,535 Vol.No

Abortion$334,526 Vol.Yes

Ceasefire$385,554 Vol.Yes

Inflation$28,999 Vol.No

Inflation 3+ times$198,452 Vol.No

Unburdened$105,623 Vol.No

Donald Trump 5+ times$120,578 Vol.Yes

Jew$159,905 Vol.No

Monkeypox$107,106 Vol.No

Context$49,589 Vol.No

Crypto/Bitcoin$74,732 Vol.No

Joy$2,859,508 Vol.No

Ukraine$33,917 Vol.Yes

McDonald's$38,486 Vol.No

Project 2025$101,265 Vol.Yes

Antisemitism$23,117 Vol.No

Obama$45,647 Vol.No

Oakland$93,164 Vol.Yes

Contexte du Marché

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Règles

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Contexte du Marché

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

À propos

Not going back
$247,211 Vol.
Yes

Weird/Weirdo
$186,535 Vol.
No

Abortion
$334,526 Vol.
Yes

Ceasefire
$385,554 Vol.
Yes

Inflation
$28,999 Vol.
No

Inflation 3+ times
$198,452 Vol.
No

Unburdened
$105,623 Vol.
No

Donald Trump 5+ times
$120,578 Vol.
Yes

Jew
$159,905 Vol.
No

Monkeypox
$107,106 Vol.
No

Context
$49,589 Vol.
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$74,732 Vol.
No

Joy
$2,859,508 Vol.
No

Ukraine
$33,917 Vol.
Yes

McDonald's
$38,486 Vol.
No

Project 2025
$101,265 Vol.
Yes

Antisemitism
$23,117 Vol.
No

Obama
$45,647 Vol.
No

Oakland
$93,164 Vol.
Yes