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US Election predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$58M Liq.

725

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$608M Vol.

$3M today

$26M Liq.

385

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$573M Vol.

$2M today

$28M Liq.

900

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

48%

Xavier Becerra

$19M Vol.

$447K today

$3M Liq.

52

Ends in 6 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

48%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$69.6K today

$539K Liq.

168

Ends in 6 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

45%

Karen Bass

$1M Vol.

$55.4K today

$181K Liq.

8

Ends in 24 days

Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

78%

Democrat

$222K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

60%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$102K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

27%

John Thune

$61.7K Vol.

$211K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

83%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$277K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$224K Liq.

39

Ends in 6 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$94.4K Liq.

7

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$267K Liq.

73

Ends in over 2 years

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

54%

Abdul El-Sayed

$517K Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Ohio Governor Election Winner

53%

Democrat

$89.8K Vol.

$39.1K Liq.

21

Ends in 6 months

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

34%

Tom Begich

$962K Vol.

$117K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

87%

Lindsey Graham

$123K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

95%

Pass 3-6%

$551K Vol.

$78.5K Liq.

63

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

99%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

61%

Talarico & Paxton

$711K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

2

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.