Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.6%
Harris by 0-0.9 <1%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 2-2.4 <1%
$766,614 Vol.
$766,614 Vol.
Aug 30, 2024
Trump lead
$147,364 Vol.
No
Harris by 0-0.9
$117,970 Vol.
No
Harris by 1-1.4
$161,779 Vol.
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
$87,420 Vol.
Yes
Harris by 2-2.4
$126,654 Vol.
No
Harris by 2.5+
$125,428 Vol.
No
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Créé le : Aug 22, 2024, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$766,614Date de fin
Aug 30, 2024Créé le
Aug 22, 2024, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.6%
Harris by 0-0.9 <1%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 2-2.4 <1%
$766,614 Vol.
$766,614 Vol.
Aug 30, 2024
Trump lead
$147,364 Vol.
No
Harris by 0-0.9
$117,970 Vol.
No
Harris by 1-1.4
$161,779 Vol.
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
$87,420 Vol.
Yes
Harris by 2-2.4
$126,654 Vol.
No
Harris by 2.5+
$125,428 Vol.
No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harris by 1.5-1.9" at 100%, followed by "Trump lead" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" has generated $766.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 22, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" is "Harris by 1.5-1.9" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump lead" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions