President José Antonio Kast's administration, inaugurated March 11, has managed recent unrest through police deployments and extensions of the lesser constitutional state of emergency in Chile's southern macrozona—covering La Araucanía, Arauco, and Biobío provinces amid ongoing rural violence—approved by Congress on March 24, rather than escalating to the more severe state of siege. Student protests in Santiago on March 26 against education budget cuts led to clashes dispersed by water cannons and tear gas, but did not overwhelm security forces. Traders price an 82.5% chance of no siege declaration by June 30, reflecting contained disturbances and focus on border fortifications via Plan Escudo Fronterizo, with no signals of broader crisis in the past week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÉtat de siège déclaré au Chili d'ici le 30 juin ?
État de siège déclaré au Chili d'ici le 30 juin ?
Oui
$30,364 Vol.
$30,364 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Oui
$30,364 Vol.
$30,364 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President José Antonio Kast's administration, inaugurated March 11, has managed recent unrest through police deployments and extensions of the lesser constitutional state of emergency in Chile's southern macrozona—covering La Araucanía, Arauco, and Biobío provinces amid ongoing rural violence—approved by Congress on March 24, rather than escalating to the more severe state of siege. Student protests in Santiago on March 26 against education budget cuts led to clashes dispersed by water cannons and tear gas, but did not overwhelm security forces. Traders price an 82.5% chance of no siege declaration by June 30, reflecting contained disturbances and focus on border fortifications via Plan Escudo Fronterizo, with no signals of broader crisis in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$30,364Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President José Antonio Kast's administration, inaugurated March 11, has managed recent unrest through police deployments and extensions of the lesser constitutional state of emergency in Chile's southern macrozona—covering La Araucanía, Arauco, and Biobío provinces amid ongoing rural violence—approved by Congress on March 24, rather than escalating to the more severe state of siege. Student protests in Santiago on March 26 against education budget cuts led to clashes dispersed by water cannons and tear gas, but did not overwhelm security forces. Traders price an 82.5% chance of no siege declaration by June 30, reflecting contained disturbances and focus on border fortifications via Plan Escudo Fronterizo, with no signals of broader crisis in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,364Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President José Antonio Kast's administration, inaugurated March 11, has managed recent unrest through police deployments and extensions of the lesser constitutional state of emergency in Chile's southern macrozona—covering La Araucanía, Arauco, and Biobío provinces amid ongoing rural violence—approved by Congress on March 24, rather than escalating to the more severe state of siege. Student protests in Santiago on March 26 against education budget cuts led to clashes dispersed by water cannons and tear gas, but did not overwhelm security forces. Traders price an 82.5% chance of no siege declaration by June 30, reflecting contained disturbances and focus on border fortifications via Plan Escudo Fronterizo, with no signals of broader crisis in the past week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes