Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting its persistent double-digit lead in polls amid economic discontent and migration concerns in this eastern German state. The latest INSA survey (March 17–24, published March 25) shows AfD at 38%, well ahead of CDU's 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and others below 7%; this mirrors January's results and PolitPro's 38.1% average, unchanged since CDU Ministerpräsident Reiner Haseloff's January resignation and Sven Schulze's election. Under proportional representation with a 5% threshold, AfD's dominance faces few barriers barring major polling errors or late surges, though other parties' cordon sanitaire precludes coalitions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections parlementaires en Saxe-Anhalt
Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Saxe-Anhalt
AfD 89%
CDU 9.4%
SPD <1%
La Gauche <1%
$519,168 Vol.
$519,168 Vol.

AfD
89%

CDU
9%

SPD
1%

La Gauche
<1%

BSW
<1%

FDP
<1%

Les Verts
<1%
AfD 89%
CDU 9.4%
SPD <1%
La Gauche <1%
$519,168 Vol.
$519,168 Vol.

AfD
89%

CDU
9%

SPD
1%

La Gauche
<1%

BSW
<1%

FDP
<1%

Les Verts
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting its persistent double-digit lead in polls amid economic discontent and migration concerns in this eastern German state. The latest INSA survey (March 17–24, published March 25) shows AfD at 38%, well ahead of CDU's 25%, with Die Linke at 13% and others below 7%; this mirrors January's results and PolitPro's 38.1% average, unchanged since CDU Ministerpräsident Reiner Haseloff's January resignation and Sven Schulze's election. Under proportional representation with a 5% threshold, AfD's dominance faces few barriers barring major polling errors or late surges, though other parties' cordon sanitaire precludes coalitions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes