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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028

Market icon
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.6%

Marco Rubio 10.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.0%

Polymarket

$480,041,417 Vol.

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.6%

Marco Rubio 10.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.0%

Polymarket

$480,041,417 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,493,744 Vol.

18%

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Gavin Newsom

$7,229,144 Vol.

17%

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Marco Rubio

$5,432,370 Vol.

11%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,464,182 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$3,082,320 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,530,396 Vol.

3%

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Kamala Harris

$6,616,134 Vol.

3%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,331,771 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$6,658,333 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$15,527,746 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,470,167 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,949,897 Vol.

2%

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JB Pritzker

$10,119,387 Vol.

2%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,701,537 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,816,431 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,140,092 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,374,061 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$22,093,146 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,824,714 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,297,148 Vol.

1%

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Titre du groupe d'éléments : Greg Abbott

$31,472,760 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,682,224 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,483,077 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$21,130,116 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$5,863,596 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,462,450 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,640,641 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$19,924,062 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$28,573,404 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,393,481 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$16,631,739 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$5,472,476 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$43,259,473 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$2,197,854 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$29,310,108 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$29,393,169 Vol.

1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6%, reflecting his position as the GOP heir apparent amid President Trump's endorsement, though odds have recently dipped below prior highs due to prolonged Middle East tensions, including Iran operations, raising doubts about Republican re-election prospects. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 16.6%, buoyed by his February memoir release and emergence as the Democratic frontrunner following 2024 setbacks, with traders betting on his national fundraising prowess and anti-Trump messaging. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.7% share surged in mid-March from high-profile foreign policy roles in Venezuela and regional diplomacy, keeping the race fluid ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape party primaries and Electoral College paths.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$480,041,417
Date de fin
7 nov. 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6%, reflecting his position as the GOP heir apparent amid President Trump's endorsement, though odds have recently dipped below prior highs due to prolonged Middle East tensions, including Iran operations, raising doubts about Republican re-election prospects. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 16.6%, buoyed by his February memoir release and emergence as the Democratic frontrunner following 2024 setbacks, with traders betting on his national fundraising prowess and anti-Trump messaging. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 10.7% share surged in mid-March from high-profile foreign policy roles in Venezuela and regional diplomacy, keeping the race fluid ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape party primaries and Electoral College paths.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$480,041,417
Date de fin
7 nov. 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 36 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « JD Vance » à 18%, suivi de « Gavin Newsom » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 18¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » a généré $480 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 11, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 », parcourez les 36 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » est « JD Vance » à 18%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Gavin Newsom » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.