Recent pre-poll surveys from early April, such as Poll Tracker projecting 172–178 seats for the DMK-led alliance at 42.7% vote share, underpin its 74% trader consensus to retain power in the 234-seat Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly ahead of the April 23 single-phase election. Incumbent advantages from welfare schemes and a cohesive INDIA bloc contrast with opposition fragmentation, as actor Vijay's debutant TVK—polling 19–24% with strong youth appeal—splits anti-incumbency votes from the AIADMK-led NDA at 17.5%, hindering their majority path despite regional strongholds. TVK's 9.8% reflects urban potential but organizational limits. Nominations closed April 6 without realignments; final campaigns focus on governance, jobs, and center-state tensions, though polls show DMK's edge holding.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative du Tamil Nadu
Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative du Tamil Nadu
DMK 74%
ADMK 17.0%
TVK 9.8%
AITC <1%
$388,415 Vol.
$388,415 Vol.
23 avr. 2026
DMK
74%
ADMK
17%
TVK
10%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
DMDK
<1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
INC
<1%
NPEP
<1%
BJP
<1%
NCP
<1%
DMK 74%
ADMK 17.0%
TVK 9.8%
AITC <1%
$388,415 Vol.
$388,415 Vol.
23 avr. 2026
DMK
$56,758 Vol.
74%
ADMK
$49,887 Vol.
17%
TVK
$87,675 Vol.
10%
AITC
$22,437 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$40,512 Vol.
<1%
DMDK
$14,849 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$13,144 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$14,064 Vol.
<1%
INC
$35,415 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$13,372 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$22,158 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$18,147 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent pre-poll surveys from early April, such as Poll Tracker projecting 172–178 seats for the DMK-led alliance at 42.7% vote share, underpin its 74% trader consensus to retain power in the 234-seat Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly ahead of the April 23 single-phase election. Incumbent advantages from welfare schemes and a cohesive INDIA bloc contrast with opposition fragmentation, as actor Vijay's debutant TVK—polling 19–24% with strong youth appeal—splits anti-incumbency votes from the AIADMK-led NDA at 17.5%, hindering their majority path despite regional strongholds. TVK's 9.8% reflects urban potential but organizational limits. Nominations closed April 6 without realignments; final campaigns focus on governance, jobs, and center-state tensions, though polls show DMK's edge holding.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$388,415Date de fin
23 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent pre-poll surveys from early April, such as Poll Tracker projecting 172–178 seats for the DMK-led alliance at 42.7% vote share, underpin its 74% trader consensus to retain power in the 234-seat Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly ahead of the April 23 single-phase election. Incumbent advantages from welfare schemes and a cohesive INDIA bloc contrast with opposition fragmentation, as actor Vijay's debutant TVK—polling 19–24% with strong youth appeal—splits anti-incumbency votes from the AIADMK-led NDA at 17.5%, hindering their majority path despite regional strongholds. TVK's 9.8% reflects urban potential but organizational limits. Nominations closed April 6 without realignments; final campaigns focus on governance, jobs, and center-state tensions, though polls show DMK's edge holding.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volume
$388,415Date de fin
23 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent pre-poll surveys from early April, such as Poll Tracker projecting 172–178 seats for the DMK-led alliance at 42.7% vote share, underpin its 74% trader consensus to retain power in the 234-seat Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly ahead of the April 23 single-phase election. Incumbent advantages from welfare schemes and a cohesive INDIA bloc contrast with opposition fragmentation, as actor Vijay's debutant TVK—polling 19–24% with strong youth appeal—splits anti-incumbency votes from the AIADMK-led NDA at 17.5%, hindering their majority path despite regional strongholds. TVK's 9.8% reflects urban potential but organizational limits. Nominations closed April 6 without realignments; final campaigns focus on governance, jobs, and center-state tensions, though polls show DMK's edge holding.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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