Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection municipale de La Paz (Bolivie)
Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de La Paz (Bolivie)
César Dockweiler 100.0%
Xavier Iturralde <1%
Jhonny Plata <1%
Waldo Albarracín <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Xavier Iturralde
Non
Jhonny Plata
Non
Waldo Albarracín
Non
César Dockweiler
Oui
Pierre Chain
Non
Miguel Roca
Non
Óscar Sogliano
Non
Paul Coca
Non
Carlos Eduardo Palenque
Non
Iván Arias
Non
Rodrigo Rivera
Non
Alejandro Reyes
Non
César Dockweiler 100.0%
Xavier Iturralde <1%
Jhonny Plata <1%
Waldo Albarracín <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Xavier Iturralde
Non
Jhonny Plata
Non
Waldo Albarracín
Non
César Dockweiler
Oui
Pierre Chain
Non
Miguel Roca
Non
Óscar Sogliano
Non
Paul Coca
Non
Carlos Eduardo Palenque
Non
Iván Arias
Non
Rodrigo Rivera
Non
Alejandro Reyes
Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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