Recent opinion polls from late March 2026, including Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, position Mi Hazánk at 5-8% nationwide vote share, securing a firm third place behind frontrunners Fidesz-KDNP and TISZA amid the April 12 parliamentary election. This commanding trader consensus at 96.4% stems from Mi Hazánk's steady consolidation of nationalist protest votes, while left-leaning parties like DK, MSZP, Momentum, and satirical MKKP remain fragmented below the 5% parliamentary threshold. TISZA's surge has further squeezed smaller rivals. Realistic challenges include a late MKKP youth turnout spike or opposition vote consolidation, though current polling trends and undecided voter dynamics make shifts improbable in the final week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 96.4%
MKKP 2.3%
DK <1%
MSZP <1%
$50,639 Vol.
$50,639 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
96%

MKKP
2%

DK
1%

MSZP
<1%

Fidesz-KDNP
<1%

Párbeszéd
<1%

Momentum
<1%

TISZA
<1%

Jobbik
<1%

LMP
<1%
Mi Hazánk 96.4%
MKKP 2.3%
DK <1%
MSZP <1%
$50,639 Vol.
$50,639 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
96%

MKKP
2%

DK
1%

MSZP
<1%

Fidesz-KDNP
<1%

Párbeszéd
<1%

Momentum
<1%

TISZA
<1%

Jobbik
<1%

LMP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls from late March 2026, including Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, position Mi Hazánk at 5-8% nationwide vote share, securing a firm third place behind frontrunners Fidesz-KDNP and TISZA amid the April 12 parliamentary election. This commanding trader consensus at 96.4% stems from Mi Hazánk's steady consolidation of nationalist protest votes, while left-leaning parties like DK, MSZP, Momentum, and satirical MKKP remain fragmented below the 5% parliamentary threshold. TISZA's surge has further squeezed smaller rivals. Realistic challenges include a late MKKP youth turnout spike or opposition vote consolidation, though current polling trends and undecided voter dynamics make shifts improbable in the final week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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