Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 14°C high temperature in Seoul today (98.7% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting a daytime peak near 14°C at the resolving Incheon International Airport station, following a cold wave advisory issued after April 1 that introduced northerly winds and cooler air masses. Current observations at 15:30 KST show 12.3°C under clear skies, with hourly aviation forecasts capping at 13°C before evening haze and cooling to 7°C, aligning with unseasonably mild but capped spring conditions atypical of April's climatological average high around 17°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar heating from prolonged clears exceeding model ensembles or urban heat effects, though diminishing daylight and wind chill render 16°C+ unlikely; final KMA observations will confirm by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
14°C 99.4%
16°C or higher <1%
15°C <1%
7°C <1%
$322,548 Vol.
$322,548 Vol.
7°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
16°C or higher <1%
15°C <1%
7°C <1%
$322,548 Vol.
$322,548 Vol.
7°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 14°C high temperature in Seoul today (98.7% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting a daytime peak near 14°C at the resolving Incheon International Airport station, following a cold wave advisory issued after April 1 that introduced northerly winds and cooler air masses. Current observations at 15:30 KST show 12.3°C under clear skies, with hourly aviation forecasts capping at 13°C before evening haze and cooling to 7°C, aligning with unseasonably mild but capped spring conditions atypical of April's climatological average high around 17°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar heating from prolonged clears exceeding model ensembles or urban heat effects, though diminishing daylight and wind chill render 16°C+ unlikely; final KMA observations will confirm by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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