Trader sentiment on Polymarket favors a Milan high of 13°C (28%) on March 22, closely trailed by 11°C (23%) and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 12-14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Key differentiators stem from model spread: GFS runs emphasize lingering low clouds from overnight fog, capping peaks near 11-12°C, while warmer ICON variants anticipate diurnal heating to 13°C with sunnier breaks. Historical March averages hover at 12.5°C, bolstered by recent ARPA Lombardia soundings showing mild southerly flow; final resolution hinges on afternoon observations as solar insolation peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 22 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 22 mars ?
13°C 28%
11°C 22.8%
12°C 21%
14°C 12%
$21,915 Vol.
$21,915 Vol.
8°C ou moins
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
23%
12°C
21%
13°C
28%
14°C
12%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C ou plus
2%
13°C 28%
11°C 22.8%
12°C 21%
14°C 12%
$21,915 Vol.
$21,915 Vol.
8°C ou moins
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
23%
12°C
21%
13°C
28%
14°C
12%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket favors a Milan high of 13°C (28%) on March 22, closely trailed by 11°C (23%) and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 12-14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Key differentiators stem from model spread: GFS runs emphasize lingering low clouds from overnight fog, capping peaks near 11-12°C, while warmer ICON variants anticipate diurnal heating to 13°C with sunnier breaks. Historical March averages hover at 12.5°C, bolstered by recent ARPA Lombardia soundings showing mild southerly flow; final resolution hinges on afternoon observations as solar insolation peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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