Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms commands recent polls in the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, with surveys like the Atlanta Journal-Constitution showing her at 40% support versus single-digit showings for rivals, fueling trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability ahead of the May 19 vote and April 27 early voting start. Her early qualification, name recognition from city leadership and Biden advisory role, and active campaigning have solidified her frontrunner status since March polls. Former Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan, who switched parties last year, trails at 9% on crossover appeal potential, while state Sen. Jason Esteves holds 6.5% amid a fragmented field; no massive fundraising edge has emerged to shift dynamics yet.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourKeisha Lance Bottoms 84%
Geoff Duncan 9%
Jason Esteves 7%
Ruwa Romman 1.3%
$106,810 Vol.
$106,810 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
84%
Geoff Duncan
9%
Jason Esteves
7%
Ruwa Romman
1%
Mike Thurmond
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Keisha Lance Bottoms 84%
Geoff Duncan 9%
Jason Esteves 7%
Ruwa Romman 1.3%
$106,810 Vol.
$106,810 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
84%
Geoff Duncan
9%
Jason Esteves
7%
Ruwa Romman
1%
Mike Thurmond
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms commands recent polls in the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary, with surveys like the Atlanta Journal-Constitution showing her at 40% support versus single-digit showings for rivals, fueling trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability ahead of the May 19 vote and April 27 early voting start. Her early qualification, name recognition from city leadership and Biden advisory role, and active campaigning have solidified her frontrunner status since March polls. Former Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan, who switched parties last year, trails at 9% on crossover appeal potential, while state Sen. Jason Esteves holds 6.5% amid a fragmented field; no massive fundraising edge has emerged to shift dynamics yet.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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