Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Victor Marx at 58% implied probability to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his submission of more petition signatures than rival Barbara Kirkmeyer by the March 18 deadline, demonstrating superior grassroots mobilization in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Both Marx, a U.S. Marine veteran and humanitarian with a large social media following, and state Sen. Kirkmeyer qualified directly for the ballot via petitions, bypassing party assembly endorsement requirements. Recent campaign rhetoric from Marx positioning Kirkmeyer as emblematic of "recycled politics" has amplified his outsider appeal among base voters, while no public primary polls have emerged to challenge this momentum amid the early-stage race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVictor Marx 57%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 33%
Bob Brinkerhoff 3.4%
Brycen Garrison 3.3%
$73,249 Vol.
$73,249 Vol.
Victor Marx
57%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
33%
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%
Brycen Garrison
3%
Daniel Thomas
3%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
3%
Greg Lopez
3%
Scott Bottoms
2%
Joshua Griffin
2%
Will McBride
1%
Mark Baisley
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Jason Clark
1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
Victor Marx 57%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 33%
Bob Brinkerhoff 3.4%
Brycen Garrison 3.3%
$73,249 Vol.
$73,249 Vol.
Victor Marx
57%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
33%
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%
Brycen Garrison
3%
Daniel Thomas
3%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
3%
Greg Lopez
3%
Scott Bottoms
2%
Joshua Griffin
2%
Will McBride
1%
Mark Baisley
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Jason Clark
1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Victor Marx at 58% implied probability to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his submission of more petition signatures than rival Barbara Kirkmeyer by the March 18 deadline, demonstrating superior grassroots mobilization in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Both Marx, a U.S. Marine veteran and humanitarian with a large social media following, and state Sen. Kirkmeyer qualified directly for the ballot via petitions, bypassing party assembly endorsement requirements. Recent campaign rhetoric from Marx positioning Kirkmeyer as emblematic of "recycled politics" has amplified his outsider appeal among base voters, while no public primary polls have emerged to challenge this momentum amid the early-stage race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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