Victor Marx leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by a recent RMG Research poll showing him atop the field at 28% among GOP primary voters, strong fundraising exceeding $1.2 million in Q2, and endorsements from influential conservative groups like the Colorado Republican Jewish Coalition. Barbara Kirkmeyer trails at 31%, drawing on her state Senate experience and 2022 congressional bid name recognition, but recent surveys indicate slippage amid field expansion. Daniel Thomas at 10.4% benefits from grassroots momentum via social media. With the June 2026 primary distant, traders eye upcoming debates, further polls, and Q3 fundraising disclosures as catalysts that could shift the closely contested early positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVictor Marx 58%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 29%
Greg Lopez 3.7%
Bob Brinkerhoff 3.4%
Victor Marx
58%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
32%
Greg Lopez
4%
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%
Brycen Garrison
3%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
3%
Scott Bottoms
2%
Joshua Griffin
2%
Mark Baisley
1%
Will McBride
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Daniel Thomas
11%
Jason Clark
1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
Victor Marx 58%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 29%
Greg Lopez 3.7%
Bob Brinkerhoff 3.4%
Victor Marx
58%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
32%
Greg Lopez
4%
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%
Brycen Garrison
3%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
3%
Scott Bottoms
2%
Joshua Griffin
2%
Mark Baisley
1%
Will McBride
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Daniel Thomas
11%
Jason Clark
1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Victor Marx leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by a recent RMG Research poll showing him atop the field at 28% among GOP primary voters, strong fundraising exceeding $1.2 million in Q2, and endorsements from influential conservative groups like the Colorado Republican Jewish Coalition. Barbara Kirkmeyer trails at 31%, drawing on her state Senate experience and 2022 congressional bid name recognition, but recent surveys indicate slippage amid field expansion. Daniel Thomas at 10.4% benefits from grassroots momentum via social media. With the June 2026 primary distant, traders eye upcoming debates, further polls, and Q3 fundraising disclosures as catalysts that could shift the closely contested early positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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