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Politique·Colombie

Élection de la Chambre des représentants de Colombie : deuxième place

Market icon
Politique·Colombie

Élection de la Chambre des représentants de Colombie : deuxième place

Centro Democrático (CD) 75.0%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 17.0%

Coalition MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL) 4.0%

Pacte historique pour la Colombie (PH) 1.6%

Polymarket

$86,905 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD) 75.0%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 17.0%

Coalition MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL) 4.0%

Pacte historique pour la Colombie (PH) 1.6%

Polymarket

$86,905 Vol.

Market icon

Centro Democrático (CD)

$7,010 Vol.

83%

Market icon

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$22,805 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Coalition MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)

$1,835 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pacte historique pour la Colombie (PH)

$55,255 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservateur)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Cambio Radical (CR)

$0 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alliance Verte (AV)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Parti de la U (La U)

$0 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent nationwide polls for Colombia's March 2026 Chamber of Representatives election consistently position Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) in first place with 20-22% voting intention, followed by Centro Democrático (CD) at 17-19%, driving trader consensus to price CD second place at 83.5% implied probability. Surveys from the past month, including Invamer and Guarumo, show this gap stable, with Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) mired below 15% amid President Petro's administration headwinds on reforms and security. PLC's 15.9% reflects its lead but limited momentum, while smaller parties like MIRA-CJL remain marginal due to fragmented support. No major catalysts in the last week have shifted dynamics, as focus turns to party list formations and coalition talks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$86,905
Date de fin
Mar 8, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent nationwide polls for Colombia's March 2026 Chamber of Representatives election consistently position Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) in first place with 20-22% voting intention, followed by Centro Democrático (CD) at 17-19%, driving trader consensus to price CD second place at 83.5% implied probability. Surveys from the past month, including Invamer and Guarumo, show this gap stable, with Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) mired below 15% amid President Petro's administration headwinds on reforms and security. PLC's 15.9% reflects its lead but limited momentum, while smaller parties like MIRA-CJL remain marginal due to fragmented support. No major catalysts in the last week have shifted dynamics, as focus turns to party list formations and coalition talks.

Recent nationwide polls for Colombia's March 2026 Chamber of Representatives election consistently position Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) in first place with 20-22% voting intention, followed by Centro Democrático (CD) at 17-19%, driving trader consensus to price CD second place at 83.5% implied probability. Surveys from the past month, including Invamer and Guarumo, show this gap stable, with Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) mired below 15% amid President Petro's administration headwinds on reforms and security. PLC's 15.9% reflects its lead but limited momentum, while smaller parties like MIRA-CJL remain marginal due to fragmented support. No major catalysts in the last week have shifted dynamics, as focus turns to party list formations and coalition talks.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection de la Chambre des représentants de Colombie : deuxième place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Centro Democrático (CD) » à 83%, suivi de « Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection de la Chambre des représentants de Colombie : deuxième place » a généré $86.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 4, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection de la Chambre des représentants de Colombie : deuxième place », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection de la Chambre des représentants de Colombie : deuxième place » est « Centro Democrático (CD) » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection de la Chambre des représentants de Colombie : deuxième place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.