Traders overwhelmingly expect the Bank of Israel to hold interest rates steady at its March monetary policy committee meeting, with no-change consensus at 93%, anchored by February CPI inflation dipping to 3%—within the 1-3% target—and steady GDP growth amid Gaza war disruptions. Governor Amir Yaron's recent remarks emphasize a pause after prior hikes, balancing geopolitical risks against persistent service-sector price pressures. This dominant pricing draws from historical MPC patterns of caution during uncertainty, embodying skin-in-the-game trader wisdom. Realistic challenges include escalated conflict eroding growth forecasts, prompting a 6% implied cut probability, or hotter-than-expected data risking a rare 1.4% hike.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque d'Israël en mars ?
Décision de la Banque d'Israël en mars ?
Pas de changement 94%
Baisse 6%
Augmentation 1.4%
$23,146 Vol.
$23,146 Vol.
Baisse
6%
Pas de changement
94%
Augmentation
1%
Pas de changement 94%
Baisse 6%
Augmentation 1.4%
$23,146 Vol.
$23,146 Vol.
Baisse
6%
Pas de changement
94%
Augmentation
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly expect the Bank of Israel to hold interest rates steady at its March monetary policy committee meeting, with no-change consensus at 93%, anchored by February CPI inflation dipping to 3%—within the 1-3% target—and steady GDP growth amid Gaza war disruptions. Governor Amir Yaron's recent remarks emphasize a pause after prior hikes, balancing geopolitical risks against persistent service-sector price pressures. This dominant pricing draws from historical MPC patterns of caution during uncertainty, embodying skin-in-the-game trader wisdom. Realistic challenges include escalated conflict eroding growth forecasts, prompting a 6% implied cut probability, or hotter-than-expected data risking a rare 1.4% hike.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes