The Trump administration's February 2026 oil blockade and tightened sanctions have exacerbated Cuba's severe energy shortages and economic collapse, prompting accelerated bilateral negotiations on trade and sanctions relief. A US State Department delegation visited Havana on April 18, the first such high-level talks in a decade, proposing targeted easing of restrictions on imports, exports, energy trade, and shipping—potentially including Starlink deployment—in exchange for Cuban political reforms like legalizing opposition parties, though short of congressionally required full embargo lift. Havana responded by releasing political prisoners earlier this month while President Díaz-Canel vows resistance to regime change pressures. Traders assess modest odds for a qualifying public agreement by June amid diplomatic progress but substantial hurdles from domestic politics and historical policy reversals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
Accord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
$143,365 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 avril
9%
30 juin
35%
$143,365 Vol.
30 avril
$84,231 Vol.
9%
30 juin
$59,137 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration's February 2026 oil blockade and tightened sanctions have exacerbated Cuba's severe energy shortages and economic collapse, prompting accelerated bilateral negotiations on trade and sanctions relief. A US State Department delegation visited Havana on April 18, the first such high-level talks in a decade, proposing targeted easing of restrictions on imports, exports, energy trade, and shipping—potentially including Starlink deployment—in exchange for Cuban political reforms like legalizing opposition parties, though short of congressionally required full embargo lift. Havana responded by releasing political prisoners earlier this month while President Díaz-Canel vows resistance to regime change pressures. Traders assess modest odds for a qualifying public agreement by June amid diplomatic progress but substantial hurdles from domestic politics and historical policy reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$143,365Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration's February 2026 oil blockade and tightened sanctions have exacerbated Cuba's severe energy shortages and economic collapse, prompting accelerated bilateral negotiations on trade and sanctions relief. A US State Department delegation visited Havana on April 18, the first such high-level talks in a decade, proposing targeted easing of restrictions on imports, exports, energy trade, and shipping—potentially including Starlink deployment—in exchange for Cuban political reforms like legalizing opposition parties, though short of congressionally required full embargo lift. Havana responded by releasing political prisoners earlier this month while President Díaz-Canel vows resistance to regime change pressures. Traders assess modest odds for a qualifying public agreement by June amid diplomatic progress but substantial hurdles from domestic politics and historical policy reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$143,365Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's February 2026 oil blockade and tightened sanctions have exacerbated Cuba's severe energy shortages and economic collapse, prompting accelerated bilateral negotiations on trade and sanctions relief. A US State Department delegation visited Havana on April 18, the first such high-level talks in a decade, proposing targeted easing of restrictions on imports, exports, energy trade, and shipping—potentially including Starlink deployment—in exchange for Cuban political reforms like legalizing opposition parties, though short of congressionally required full embargo lift. Havana responded by releasing political prisoners earlier this month while President Díaz-Canel vows resistance to regime change pressures. Traders assess modest odds for a qualifying public agreement by June amid diplomatic progress but substantial hurdles from domestic politics and historical policy reversals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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