Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
$2,602,340 Vol.
$2,602,340 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.
The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.
The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.
The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Aug 28, 2024, 6:11 PM ET
Volume
$2,602,340End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Aug 28, 2024, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
$2,602,340 Vol.
$2,602,340 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.
The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.
The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.
The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,602,340End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Aug 28, 2024, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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