Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$12,993,180 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
January 31
$7,898,185 Vol.
1%
January 31
$7,898,185 Vol.
1%
March 31
$2,199,730 Vol.
6%
March 31
$2,199,730 Vol.
6%
December 31
$130,932 Vol.
8%
December 31
$130,932 Vol.
8%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Created At: Dec 17, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$12,993,180End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 17, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$12,993,180 Vol.
January 31
$7,898,185 Vol.
1%
March 31
$2,199,730 Vol.
6%
December 31
$130,932 Vol.
8%
About
Volume
$12,993,180End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 17, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.