Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) surpassing $30 per ounce by March 31, with yes shares trading at implied probabilities around 62%, reflecting a 5% rally this month fueled by safe-haven buying amid escalating Middle East tensions and softer U.S. inflation data. Spot silver hovers near $29.50/oz, up from $23 lows in October, supported by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics amid China's stimulus push. A weakening dollar index (DXY at 103.5) and Fed rate cut odds (75% for March per CME FedWatch) bolster upside, though ETF outflows and rising mine supply cap gains. Watch March 20 FOMC and PCE inflation release for volatility, with $30 as key resistance before quarter-end settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1,018,831 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$1,018,831 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) surpassing $30 per ounce by March 31, with yes shares trading at implied probabilities around 62%, reflecting a 5% rally this month fueled by safe-haven buying amid escalating Middle East tensions and softer U.S. inflation data. Spot silver hovers near $29.50/oz, up from $23 lows in October, supported by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics amid China's stimulus push. A weakening dollar index (DXY at 103.5) and Fed rate cut odds (75% for March per CME FedWatch) bolster upside, though ETF outflows and rising mine supply cap gains. Watch March 20 FOMC and PCE inflation release for volatility, with $30 as key resistance before quarter-end settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions