Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to silver (SI) futures surpassing $30 by March 31, propelled by the metal's recent surge past $29 amid cooling U.S. inflation data and persistent rate-cut bets from the Fed. Spot silver trades at $29.45 (COMEX front-month), up 12% YTD, fueled by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics amid supply constraints from major producers like Mexico and Peru. A weakening dollar index below 104 supports the rally, though hawkish FOMC minutes due March 20 and key CPI release on March 12 could trigger volatility—traders eye a decisive break above $29.80 as the critical threshold for bullish resolution. Historical March seasonality favors upside, but geopolitical risks cap gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1,001,429 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
27%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,001,429 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
27%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to silver (SI) futures surpassing $30 by March 31, propelled by the metal's recent surge past $29 amid cooling U.S. inflation data and persistent rate-cut bets from the Fed. Spot silver trades at $29.45 (COMEX front-month), up 12% YTD, fueled by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics amid supply constraints from major producers like Mexico and Peru. A weakening dollar index below 104 supports the rally, though hawkish FOMC minutes due March 20 and key CPI release on March 12 could trigger volatility—traders eye a decisive break above $29.80 as the critical threshold for bullish resolution. Historical March seasonality favors upside, but geopolitical risks cap gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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