Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans heavily toward silver (SI) surpassing $30 per ounce by March 31, with Yes shares trading at implied probabilities around 70%, fueled by the metal's 10% monthly gain amid Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and weakening U.S. dollar. Spot silver hovers near $29.80/oz as of late March, up from $24 in February, driven by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics alongside safe-haven buying tied to geopolitical risks. Key catalysts include tomorrow's PCE inflation data and potential COMEX delivery squeezes; a break above $30.20 resistance could confirm the upside, though renewed USD strength from hawkish Fed rhetoric risks a pullback before month-end settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1,015,322 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$1,015,322 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans heavily toward silver (SI) surpassing $30 per ounce by March 31, with Yes shares trading at implied probabilities around 70%, fueled by the metal's 10% monthly gain amid Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and weakening U.S. dollar. Spot silver hovers near $29.80/oz as of late March, up from $24 in February, driven by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics alongside safe-haven buying tied to geopolitical risks. Key catalysts include tomorrow's PCE inflation data and potential COMEX delivery squeezes; a break above $30.20 resistance could confirm the upside, though renewed USD strength from hawkish Fed rhetoric risks a pullback before month-end settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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