Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99% implied probability to the platform achieving at least 70% daily mindshare by June 30—per Kaito AI's Info Markets Arena metric tracking crypto Twitter share-of-voice—despite a recent dip to around 55% as of late March. The slide stems from new taker fees introduced March 30, alienating retail users and social signal generators, allowing competitors like Kalshi to capture narrative momentum amid combined $18B February volumes. Bolstering optimism: explosive trading growth (March 2026 volumes hit $10.6B, 8x prior year), Kaito attention markets launch in February, and $POLY token speculation fueling hype. Watch for token announcements or volume records as swing factors before June resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHow high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
$1,871,156 Vol.
90%
1%
85%
1%
$1,871,156 Vol.
90%
1%
85%
1%
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Nov 20, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99% implied probability to the platform achieving at least 70% daily mindshare by June 30—per Kaito AI's Info Markets Arena metric tracking crypto Twitter share-of-voice—despite a recent dip to around 55% as of late March. The slide stems from new taker fees introduced March 30, alienating retail users and social signal generators, allowing competitors like Kalshi to capture narrative momentum amid combined $18B February volumes. Bolstering optimism: explosive trading growth (March 2026 volumes hit $10.6B, 8x prior year), Kaito attention markets launch in February, and $POLY token speculation fueling hype. Watch for token announcements or volume records as swing factors before June resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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