Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?
NEW
NEW
Feb 1, 2026
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike by time the February 2026 OPEC+ meeting release is published, including through that release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No".
A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement.
The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No".
A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement.
The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
Volume
$130End Date
Feb 1, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 3:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?
NEW
NEW
Feb 1, 2026
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike by time the February 2026 OPEC+ meeting release is published, including through that release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No".
A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement.
The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on February 1, 2026 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1574587-4-january-2026.html). If that February 1, 2026 meeting passes, the release is published, and no qualifying production hike is announced, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, and no qualifying production hike is otherwise announced, this market will resolve to "No".
A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to increase production and specifies the conditions and volume in the February 2026 announcement.
The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$130End Date
Feb 1, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 3:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
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