Market icon

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?

$27,627 Vol.

Feb 15, 2026
Polymarket

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Glenn Flight 3 (NG-3) successfully launches from its launch pad by the specified date, 11:59PM ET.

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin (https://www.youtube.com/@blueorigin/streams), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of New Glenn with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$27,627
End Date
Feb 15, 2026
Created At
Dec 11, 2025, 5:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Glenn Flight 3 (NG-3) successfully launches from its launch pad by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin (https://www.youtube.com/@blueorigin/streams), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of New Glenn with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?

$27,627 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2025

$2,157 Vol.

No

January 31, 2026

$18,968 Vol.

No

February 15, 2026

$6,501 Vol.

Yes

About

Volume
$27,627
End Date
Feb 15, 2026
Created At
Dec 11, 2025, 5:30 PM ET

Beware of external links.