Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection has intensified in 2026, targeting senior People's Liberation Army officers and Politburo members to enforce political loyalty amid military modernization efforts. Just two days ago, Politburo member and former Guangdong party secretary Ma Xingrui was ousted for "serious violations," marking the third such high-level expulsion in six months following probes into top generals like Zhang Youxia and He Weidong earlier this year. Recent actions include the expulsion of nine generals announced April 4, shrinking the Central Military Commission and prompting Xi's March calls for unwavering allegiance during the National People's Congress. Traders monitor absences from state events, CCDI investigations, and factional signals, as purges could extend through the 21st Party Congress preparations in 2027, reflecting trader consensus on Xi's consolidation of control despite economic pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$105,389 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
19%
Zhang Shengmin
14%
Li Xi
13%
Ding Xuexiang
8%
Zhao Leji
7%
Cai Qi
7%
Wang Yi
5%
Wang Huning
3%
Li Qiang
3%
$105,389 Vol.
Dong Jun
$17,624 Vol.
19%
Zhang Shengmin
$12,705 Vol.
14%
Li Xi
$15,269 Vol.
13%
Ding Xuexiang
$11,146 Vol.
8%
Zhao Leji
$6,224 Vol.
7%
Cai Qi
$24,321 Vol.
7%
Wang Yi
$8,738 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$4,873 Vol.
3%
Li Qiang
$4,505 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection has intensified in 2026, targeting senior People's Liberation Army officers and Politburo members to enforce political loyalty amid military modernization efforts. Just two days ago, Politburo member and former Guangdong party secretary Ma Xingrui was ousted for "serious violations," marking the third such high-level expulsion in six months following probes into top generals like Zhang Youxia and He Weidong earlier this year. Recent actions include the expulsion of nine generals announced April 4, shrinking the Central Military Commission and prompting Xi's March calls for unwavering allegiance during the National People's Congress. Traders monitor absences from state events, CCDI investigations, and factional signals, as purges could extend through the 21st Party Congress preparations in 2027, reflecting trader consensus on Xi's consolidation of control despite economic pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$105,389End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection has intensified in 2026, targeting senior People's Liberation Army officers and Politburo members to enforce political loyalty amid military modernization efforts. Just two days ago, Politburo member and former Guangdong party secretary Ma Xingrui was ousted for "serious violations," marking the third such high-level expulsion in six months following probes into top generals like Zhang Youxia and He Weidong earlier this year. Recent actions include the expulsion of nine generals announced April 4, shrinking the Central Military Commission and prompting Xi's March calls for unwavering allegiance during the National People's Congress. Traders monitor absences from state events, CCDI investigations, and factional signals, as purges could extend through the 21st Party Congress preparations in 2027, reflecting trader consensus on Xi's consolidation of control despite economic pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$105,389End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection has intensified in 2026, targeting senior People's Liberation Army officers and Politburo members to enforce political loyalty amid military modernization efforts. Just two days ago, Politburo member and former Guangdong party secretary Ma Xingrui was ousted for "serious violations," marking the third such high-level expulsion in six months following probes into top generals like Zhang Youxia and He Weidong earlier this year. Recent actions include the expulsion of nine generals announced April 4, shrinking the Central Military Commission and prompting Xi's March calls for unwavering allegiance during the National People's Congress. Traders monitor absences from state events, CCDI investigations, and factional signals, as purges could extend through the 21st Party Congress preparations in 2027, reflecting trader consensus on Xi's consolidation of control despite economic pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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