Name: Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Start: 2025-11-18T15:59:41.831922Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Roger Ver

Elon Musk

Matt Gaetz

Joe Exotic

Ghislaine Maxwell

Eric Adams

Himself

Young Thug

Roger Stone

Antoine Massey

Sam Bankman-Fried

Julian Assange

Hunter Biden

Daniel Penny

Derek Chauvin

Do Kwon

Steve Bannon

Diddy

Edward Snowden

Bob Menendez

Elizabeth Holmes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ryan Salame

Donald Brodie

Stefan Brodie

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Keonne Rodriguez

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?

This market will resolve to "No" if any of the listed people receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

The listed individuals are: 
- Diddy
- Ghislaine Maxwell
- Sam Bankman-Fried
- Elizabeth Holmes
- Derek Chauvin

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Changpeng Zhao and Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump Crypto Pardon Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump for any charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto of any bill by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially appoints, or announces the appointment of a special prosecutor, special counsel, or other independent prosecutor to investigate matters related to Jeffrey Epstein by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
 
To qualify, the appointee must be explicitly tasked with investigating the Epstein case. A public statement from Trump, the White House, or the Department of Justice confirming the appointment will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the appointment goes into effect. 

General statements of intent without a named appointee will not qualify. 

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration or a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 5, and  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Elon Musk?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of criminal wrongdoing between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump committed one or more specific crimes, or clearly refer to him as a criminal and Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made Maxwell and made public within the specified date range. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump , and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Trump divorce in 2025?

In November 2025, Donald Trump indicated his intent to urge the United States Justice Department to investigate alleged ties between Jeffrey Epstein and Bill Clinton. (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-ask-justice-department-probe-epstein-ties-with-bill-clinton-2025-11-14/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Clinton is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between November 14, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Bill Clinton be federally indicted by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto, by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, of any bill or resolution that explicitly mandates, compels, or formally calls for the public release of documents related to Jeffrey Epstein. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden, Jill Biden, Beau Biden, Hunter Biden, Ashley Biden, James "Jim" Biden, Sara Biden, Valerie Biden Owens, John Owens or Francis "Frank" Biden serve any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between March 17 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Biden family member?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Keonne Rodriguez
$4,159 Vol.
35%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Steve Bannon
$61 Vol.
35%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Young Thug
$0 Vol.
33%

Matt Gaetz
$5 Vol.
33%

Daniel Penny
$0 Vol.
33%

Donald Brodie
$0 Vol.
33%

Antoine Massey
$5 Vol.
32%

Stefan Brodie
$5 Vol.
32%

Roger Ver
$76 Vol.
29%

Bob Menendez
$5 Vol.
25%

Eric Adams
$23 Vol.
25%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Ryan Salame
$3,899 Vol.
24%
0123456789
%

Roger Stone
$5 Vol.
21%

Derek Chauvin
$110 Vol.
18%

Diddy
$58 Vol.
17%
0123456789
%

Edward Snowden
$7 Vol.
17%
0123456789
%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$134 Vol.
17%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$373 Vol.
15%
0123456789
%

Julian Assange
$0 Vol.
15%

Elon Musk
$35,742 Vol.
14%
0123456789
%

Hunter Biden
$18 Vol.
12%

Himself
$0 Vol.
11%

Elizabeth Holmes
$0 Vol.
11%

Do Kwon
$5,627 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

Joe Exotic
$28 Vol.
38%

Market Context

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Rules

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Market Context

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

About

Related

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Keonne Rodriguez$4,159 Vol.35%01234567890123456789%buy Yes43¢buy No73¢

Steve Bannon$61 Vol.35%01234567890123456789%buy Yes49¢buy No80¢

Young Thug$0 Vol.33%buy Yes62¢buy No96¢

Matt Gaetz$5 Vol.33%buy Yes60¢buy No95¢

Daniel Penny$0 Vol.33%buy Yes61¢buy No96¢

Donald Brodie$0 Vol.33%buy Yes61¢buy No96¢

Antoine Massey$5 Vol.32%buy Yes60¢buy No96¢

Stefan Brodie$5 Vol.32%buy Yes60¢buy No97¢

Roger Ver$76 Vol.29%buy Yes31¢buy No73¢

Bob Menendez$5 Vol.25%buy Yes45¢buy No95¢

Eric Adams$23 Vol.25%01234567890123456789%buy Yes43¢buy No94¢

Ryan Salame$3,899 Vol.24%0123456789%buy Yes26¢buy No78¢

Roger Stone$5 Vol.21%buy Yes30¢buy No89¢

Derek Chauvin$110 Vol.18%buy Yes24¢buy No89¢

Diddy$58 Vol.17%0123456789%buy Yes21¢buy No87¢

Edward Snowden$7 Vol.17%0123456789%buy Yes21¢buy No87¢

Ghislaine Maxwell$134 Vol.17%buy Yes20¢buy No87¢

Sam Bankman-Fried$373 Vol.15%0123456789%buy Yes19¢buy No89¢

Julian Assange$0 Vol.15%buy Yes19¢buy No89¢

Elon Musk$35,742 Vol.14%0123456789%buy Yes16.2¢buy No88.1¢

Hunter Biden$18 Vol.12%buy Yes18¢buy No94¢

Himself$0 Vol.11%buy Yes17¢buy No96¢

Elizabeth Holmes$0 Vol.11%buy Yes17¢buy No96¢

Do Kwon$5,627 Vol.8%0123456789%buy Yes9¢buy No93¢

Joe Exotic$28 Vol.38%buy Yes72¢buy No96¢

Market Context

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Rules

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Market Context

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

About

Related

Keonne Rodriguez
$4,159 Vol.
35%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Steve Bannon
$61 Vol.
35%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Young Thug
$0 Vol.
33%

Matt Gaetz
$5 Vol.
33%

Daniel Penny
$0 Vol.
33%

Donald Brodie
$0 Vol.
33%

Antoine Massey
$5 Vol.
32%

Stefan Brodie
$5 Vol.
32%

Roger Ver
$76 Vol.
29%

Bob Menendez
$5 Vol.
25%

Eric Adams
$23 Vol.
25%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Ryan Salame
$3,899 Vol.
24%
0123456789
%

Roger Stone
$5 Vol.
21%

Derek Chauvin
$110 Vol.
18%

Diddy
$58 Vol.
17%
0123456789
%

Edward Snowden
$7 Vol.
17%
0123456789
%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$134 Vol.
17%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$373 Vol.
15%
0123456789
%

Julian Assange
$0 Vol.
15%

Elon Musk
$35,742 Vol.
14%
0123456789
%

Hunter Biden
$18 Vol.
12%

Himself
$0 Vol.
11%

Elizabeth Holmes
$0 Vol.
11%

Do Kwon
$5,627 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

Joe Exotic
$28 Vol.
38%