Market icon

Who will Trump name during the State of the Union address?

$45,189 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026

Rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,189
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Who will Trump name during the State of the Union address?

$45,189 Vol.

Biden

$1,229 Vol.

92%

Maduro

$420 Vol.

78%

Marco / Rubio

$871 Vol.

70%

Charlie Kirk

$2,216 Vol.

62%

Lincoln

$303 Vol.

59%

Powell / Too Late

$99 Vol.

58%

Noem

$0 Vol.

53%

Hegseth

$215 Vol.

53%

Witkoff

$12,649 Vol.

50%

Ayatollah / Khamenei

$28 Vol.

50%

Zelenskyy

$91 Vol.

48%

Thune

$2,647 Vol.

47%

Obama

$685 Vol.

46%

Putin

$1,776 Vol.

46%

Susie Wiles

$60 Vol.

46%

Walz

$110 Vol.

43%

Schumer

$48 Vol.

44%

Homan

$351 Vol.

44%

Kushner

$317 Vol.

44%

Bessent

$62 Vol.

43%

President Xi

$844 Vol.

43%

Beckstrom

$3,611 Vol.

41%

Kash / Patel

$0 Vol.

41%

Reagan

$7,242 Vol.

42%

Howard / Lutnick

$23 Vol.

41%

Monroe

$8,004 Vol.

40%

Elon / Musk

$470 Vol.

40%

Karoline / Leavitt

$11 Vol.

39%

Pam / Bondi

$0 Vol.

39%

Bush

$2 Vol.

38%

Clinton

$1 Vol.

34%

Reza / Pahlavi

$4 Vol.

28%

Newsom / Newscum

$11 Vol.

32%

Bibi / Netanyahu

$324 Vol.

31%

Elizabeth Warren / Pocahontas

$100 Vol.

26%

Zohran / Mamdani

$19 Vol.

25%

Prince Mohammed

$343 Vol.

22%

About

Volume
$45,189
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Beware of external links.