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Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?

Market icon

Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?

$2,428,083 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$2,428,083 Vol.

Polymarket
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United Kingdom

$244,842 Vol.

Yes

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France

$671,625 Vol.

Yes

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United States

$884,835 Vol.

No

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Canada

$108,121 Vol.

Yes

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Italy

$50,586 Vol.

No

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Japan

$32,557 Vol.

No

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The Netherlands

$28,950 Vol.

No

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Germany

$56,162 Vol.

No

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Belgium

$308,660 Vol.

No

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Finland

$7,731 Vol.

No

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Austria

$3,622 Vol.

No

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Greece

$22,614 Vol.

No

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New Zealand

$7,778 Vol.

No

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,428,083
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "United Kingdom" at 100%, followed by "France" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?" is "United Kingdom" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.