Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
4 38%
2 27%
1 14%
3 8.2%
$1,185,956 Vol.
$1,185,956 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1
$150,565 Vol.
14%
1
$150,565 Vol.
14%
2
$126,153 Vol.
27%
2
$126,153 Vol.
27%
3
$93,682 Vol.
8%
3
$93,682 Vol.
8%
4
$117,267 Vol.
38%
4
$117,267 Vol.
38%
5
$511,894 Vol.
4%
5
$511,894 Vol.
4%
6 or lower
$186,396 Vol.
7%
6 or lower
$186,396 Vol.
7%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,185,956End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
4 38%
2 27%
1 14%
3 8.2%
$1,185,956 Vol.
$1,185,956 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1
$150,565 Vol.
14%
2
$126,153 Vol.
27%
3
$93,682 Vol.
8%
4
$117,267 Vol.
38%
5
$511,894 Vol.
4%
6 or lower
$186,396 Vol.
7%
About
Volume
$1,185,956End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.