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Finance·Hit Price

What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?

Market icon
Finance·Hit Price

What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?

Ended: Apr 1

Ended: Apr 1

$145,395 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$145,395 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 3000

$3,531 Vol.

No

↑ 2875

$31,062 Vol.

No

↑ 2775

$66,257 Vol.

No

↑ 2675

$390 Vol.

No

↑ 2600

$32,305 Vol.

No

↑ 2550

$0 Vol.

Yes

↑ 2500

$0 Vol.

Yes

↓ 2450

$0 Vol.

Yes

↓ 2400

$642 Vol.

No

↓ 2350

$3,677 Vol.

No

↓ 2275

$1,170 Vol.

No

↓ 2200

$1,183 Vol.

No

↓ 2100

$3,471 Vol.

No

↓ 1975

$1,708 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT). Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT). Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.The Russell 2000 index has navigated sharp volatility in March 2026, plunging into correction territory around March 20 amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and oil shock fears before rebounding over 8% last week on de-escalation signals and renewed rotation from mega-caps. Monthly performance stands at -6% despite 5-6% year-to-date gains, reflecting trader consensus on small-caps' sensitivity to domestic economic resilience, lower Treasury yields, and Fed funds rate cut expectations amid cooling inflation. Trading near 2,490 as of March 31 close, positioning hinges on final-hour flows; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, ISM manufacturing data, and Q1 earnings from small-cap heavyweights could sustain momentum or trigger reversals in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT).

Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$145,395
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ERUT/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT). Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT). Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT). Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.The Russell 2000 index has navigated sharp volatility in March 2026, plunging into correction territory around March 20 amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and oil shock fears before rebounding over 8% last week on de-escalation signals and renewed rotation from mega-caps. Monthly performance stands at -6% despite 5-6% year-to-date gains, reflecting trader consensus on small-caps' sensitivity to domestic economic resilience, lower Treasury yields, and Fed funds rate cut expectations amid cooling inflation. Trading near 2,490 as of March 31 close, positioning hinges on final-hour flows; upcoming April nonfarm payrolls, ISM manufacturing data, and Q1 earnings from small-cap heavyweights could sustain momentum or trigger reversals in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT).

Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$145,395
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ERUT/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Russell 2000 (RUT) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Russell 2000 (RUT). Note: Russell 2000 (RUT) is represented by ^RUT on Yahoo Finance.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 2550" at 100%, followed by "↑ 2500" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?" has generated $145.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?" is "↑ 2550" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 2500" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.