The S&P 500 index has plunged about 7.4% month-to-date through March 27, closing at 6,368.85, as U.S.-Iran war escalation drove oil prices above $100 per barrel, fueling recession fears and a five-week equity slide from January's 7,002 peak. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting, with projections signaling only one 2026 rate cut amid war-induced inflation pressures. February unemployment ticked up to 4.4% alongside 92,000 job losses, highlighting labor softening. Polymarket traders' positioning reflects this risk-off consensus, with the March 31 close pivotal ahead of Q1 earnings and April 28-29 FOMC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$110,420 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
↓ 5700
2%
↓ 5600
<1%
↓ 5500
1%
↓ 5350
<1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
<1%
↓ 4750
<1%
$110,420 Vol.
↓ 5700
$1,446 Vol.
2%
↓ 5600
$3,803 Vol.
<1%
↓ 5500
$32,156 Vol.
1%
↓ 5350
$27,132 Vol.
<1%
↓ 5200
$1,788 Vol.
1%
↓ 5000
$3,383 Vol.
<1%
↓ 4750
$40,718 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 index has plunged about 7.4% month-to-date through March 27, closing at 6,368.85, as U.S.-Iran war escalation drove oil prices above $100 per barrel, fueling recession fears and a five-week equity slide from January's 7,002 peak. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting, with projections signaling only one 2026 rate cut amid war-induced inflation pressures. February unemployment ticked up to 4.4% alongside 92,000 job losses, highlighting labor softening. Polymarket traders' positioning reflects this risk-off consensus, with the March 31 close pivotal ahead of Q1 earnings and April 28-29 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$110,420End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 index has plunged about 7.4% month-to-date through March 27, closing at 6,368.85, as U.S.-Iran war escalation drove oil prices above $100 per barrel, fueling recession fears and a five-week equity slide from January's 7,002 peak. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting, with projections signaling only one 2026 rate cut amid war-induced inflation pressures. February unemployment ticked up to 4.4% alongside 92,000 job losses, highlighting labor softening. Polymarket traders' positioning reflects this risk-off consensus, with the March 31 close pivotal ahead of Q1 earnings and April 28-29 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$110,420End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 index has plunged about 7.4% month-to-date through March 27, closing at 6,368.85, as U.S.-Iran war escalation drove oil prices above $100 per barrel, fueling recession fears and a five-week equity slide from January's 7,002 peak. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 18 FOMC meeting, with projections signaling only one 2026 rate cut amid war-induced inflation pressures. February unemployment ticked up to 4.4% alongside 92,000 job losses, highlighting labor softening. Polymarket traders' positioning reflects this risk-off consensus, with the March 31 close pivotal ahead of Q1 earnings and April 28-29 FOMC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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