Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$183,048 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
17%
↑ $8,200
34%
↑ $7,800
75%
↓ $6,200
32%
↓ $5,800
21%
↓ $5,200
12%
↓ $4,500
7%
$183,048 Vol.
↑ $9,300
$3,563 Vol.
6%
↑ $8,600
$13,646 Vol.
17%
↑ $8,200
$5,572 Vol.
34%
↑ $7,800
$4,921 Vol.
75%
↓ $6,200
$26,969 Vol.
32%
↓ $5,800
$23,506 Vol.
21%
↓ $5,200
$29,589 Vol.
12%
↓ $4,500
$24,590 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$183,048Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$183,048Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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