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What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?

Market icon

What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?

$232,547 Vol.

Feb 22, 2026
Polymarket

$232,547 Vol.

Polymarket

People 10+ times

$7,058 Vol.

Yes

Trump 5+ times

$4,666 Vol.

Yes

Government 3+ times

$167,328 Vol.

Yes

Our Main Story Tonight

$5,051 Vol.

Yes

HBO

$643 Vol.

No

AI / Artificial intelligence

$5,116 Vol.

Yes

Mainstream Media

$797 Vol.

Yes

Ridiculous

$3,430 Vol.

Yes

Europe

$2,119 Vol.

Yes

Iran

$6,926 Vol.

Yes

Israel / Gaza

$1,887 Vol.

Yes

War

$2,316 Vol.

Yes

Healthcare / Insurance

$471 Vol.

No

Trans / Transgender

$577 Vol.

No

Attorney General

$618 Vol.

Yes

Congress

$5,680 Vol.

No

DHS / ICE

$9,707 Vol.

Yes

Epstein / Pedophile

$6,271 Vol.

Yes

Investigation / Prosecution

$452 Vol.

Yes

Corruption

$564 Vol.

No

Immigration

$870 Vol.

Yes

John Oliver is scheduled to host Last Week Tonight on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 11PM ET: https://www.youtube.com/@LastWeekTonight

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Oliver says the listed term at any point during the initial broadcast of this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where John Oliver is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this appearance is definitively cancelled by John Oliver or HBO, or otherwise is not released by February 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Volume
$232,547
End Date
Feb 22, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 10:21 AM ET
John Oliver is scheduled to host Last Week Tonight on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 11PM ET: https://www.youtube.com/@LastWeekTonight This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Oliver says the listed term at any point during the initial broadcast of this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where John Oliver is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this appearance is definitively cancelled by John Oliver or HBO, or otherwise is not released by February 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "People 10+ times" at 100%, followed by "Trump 5+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?" has generated $232.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?" is "People 10+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump 5+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.