U.S. tariff rate on China on August 15?
25-40% 100.0%
<25% <1%
40-60% <1%
60-100% <1%
$1,956,930 Vol.
$1,956,930 Vol.
Aug 15, 2025
<25%
$432,337 Vol.
No
<25%
$432,337 Vol.
No
25-40%
$704,199 Vol.
Yes
25-40%
$704,199 Vol.
Yes
40-60%
$198,933 Vol.
No
40-60%
$198,933 Vol.
No
60-100%
$198,398 Vol.
No
60-100%
$198,398 Vol.
No
100-150%
$171,590 Vol.
No
100-150%
$171,590 Vol.
No
>150%
$251,474 Vol.
No
>150%
$251,474 Vol.
No
Rules
On May 12, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement.
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on August 15, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.On May 12, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement.
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on August 15, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on August 15, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).
Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Created At: May 13, 2025, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$1,956,930End Date
Aug 15, 2025Created At
May 13, 2025, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
U.S. tariff rate on China on August 15?
25-40% 100.0%
<25% <1%
40-60% <1%
60-100% <1%
$1,956,930 Vol.
$1,956,930 Vol.
Aug 15, 2025
<25%
$432,337 Vol.
No
25-40%
$704,199 Vol.
Yes
40-60%
$198,933 Vol.
No
60-100%
$198,398 Vol.
No
100-150%
$171,590 Vol.
No
>150%
$251,474 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$1,956,930End Date
Aug 15, 2025Created At
May 13, 2025, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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