The official voter turnout for Honduras' 30 November 2025 general elections reached 60.19%, with 3.926 million votes cast out of 6.52 million registered voters, as certified by the Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) following manual recounts amid fraud allegations in the razor-thin presidential race won by Nasry Asfura. Trader consensus locked in this 60-65% bracket at near-certainty due to historical precedents—averaging 61% since 1981, down from 68.58% in 2021—driven by voter disillusionment, poverty shifting priorities, institutional distrust from partisan control of electoral bodies, and logistical barriers like transport. Despite disputes and a congressional-approved full recount, no credible challenges have emerged post-Asfura's 27 January 2026 inauguration, solidifying market resolution.