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Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?

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Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$10,142 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$10,142 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country named in President Donald Trump’s December 16, 2025, proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States” is fully removed from the list of countries subject to full or partial entry suspensions by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A country will be considered "removed" if any of the following occur:
- The President or Executive Branch formally revokes or modifies the proclamation to remove the country
- A federal court issues a final ruling or permanent injunction that blocks the restrictions for that country
- Congress passes legislation lifting the restrictions for that country
- A relevant federal agency (e.g., DHS, State Department) issues official guidance or updates visa policy indicating the country is no longer subject to restrictions
- Nationals of the country resume receiving visas under all categories that had been suspended, without case-by-case waivers

The following do not count as a country being removed:
- Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions (unless later made permanent)
- Delays in enforcement, individual exemptions, or case-by-case waivers
- Diplomatic negotiations or public statements about potential future removal without official action
- Partial easing that still imposes core restrictions (e.g., resuming B-1/B-2 visas while immigrant visas remain banned)

Any official executive, legislative, or judicial action that prevents the proclamation from taking effect on January 1, 2026, or that pauses or ends the travel ban or restriction of a specified country will suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official government communications.
Volume
$10,142
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country named in President Donald Trump’s December 16, 2025, proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States” is fully removed from the list of countries subject to full or partial entry suspensions by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A country will be considered "removed" if any of the following occur: - The President or Executive Branch formally revokes or modifies the proclamation to remove the country - A federal court issues a final ruling or permanent injunction that blocks the restrictions for that country - Congress passes legislation lifting the restrictions for that country - A relevant federal agency (e.g., DHS, State Department) issues official guidance or updates visa policy indicating the country is no longer subject to restrictions - Nationals of the country resume receiving visas under all categories that had been suspended, without case-by-case waivers The following do not count as a country being removed: - Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions (unless later made permanent) - Delays in enforcement, individual exemptions, or case-by-case waivers - Diplomatic negotiations or public statements about potential future removal without official action - Partial easing that still imposes core restrictions (e.g., resuming B-1/B-2 visas while immigrant visas remain banned) Any official executive, legislative, or judicial action that prevents the proclamation from taking effect on January 1, 2026, or that pauses or ends the travel ban or restriction of a specified country will suffice. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official government communications.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country named in President Donald Trump’s December 16, 2025, proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States” is fully removed from the list of countries subject to full or partial entry suspensions by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A country will be considered "removed" if any of the following occur:
- The President or Executive Branch formally revokes or modifies the proclamation to remove the country
- A federal court issues a final ruling or permanent injunction that blocks the restrictions for that country
- Congress passes legislation lifting the restrictions for that country
- A relevant federal agency (e.g., DHS, State Department) issues official guidance or updates visa policy indicating the country is no longer subject to restrictions
- Nationals of the country resume receiving visas under all categories that had been suspended, without case-by-case waivers

The following do not count as a country being removed:
- Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions (unless later made permanent)
- Delays in enforcement, individual exemptions, or case-by-case waivers
- Diplomatic negotiations or public statements about potential future removal without official action
- Partial easing that still imposes core restrictions (e.g., resuming B-1/B-2 visas while immigrant visas remain banned)

Any official executive, legislative, or judicial action that prevents the proclamation from taking effect on January 1, 2026, or that pauses or ends the travel ban or restriction of a specified country will suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official government communications.
Volume
$10,142
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country named in President Donald Trump’s December 16, 2025, proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States” is fully removed from the list of countries subject to full or partial entry suspensions by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A country will be considered "removed" if any of the following occur: - The President or Executive Branch formally revokes or modifies the proclamation to remove the country - A federal court issues a final ruling or permanent injunction that blocks the restrictions for that country - Congress passes legislation lifting the restrictions for that country - A relevant federal agency (e.g., DHS, State Department) issues official guidance or updates visa policy indicating the country is no longer subject to restrictions - Nationals of the country resume receiving visas under all categories that had been suspended, without case-by-case waivers The following do not count as a country being removed: - Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions (unless later made permanent) - Delays in enforcement, individual exemptions, or case-by-case waivers - Diplomatic negotiations or public statements about potential future removal without official action - Partial easing that still imposes core restrictions (e.g., resuming B-1/B-2 visas while immigrant visas remain banned) Any official executive, legislative, or judicial action that prevents the proclamation from taking effect on January 1, 2026, or that pauses or ends the travel ban or restriction of a specified country will suffice. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official government communications.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.