SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

Name: SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8
Start: 2025-02-24T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2025-02-24T12:00:00.000Z

Ended

$518,658 Vol.

Mar 6, 2025

March 6
$36,782 Vol.
Yes

March 5
$32,572 Vol.
No

March 3
$29,191 Vol.
No

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$118,751 Vol.
Yes

Reaches space?
$17,757 Vol.
Yes

Super Heavy explodes?
$42,048 Vol.
No

Super Heavy survives re-entry?
$18,612 Vol.
Yes

Trump attends launch?
$22,798 Vol.
No

Successful splash down?
$28,717 Vol.
No

Launch before March 15?
$33,283 Vol.
Yes

Launch before March?
$104,906 Vol.
No

Launch before April?
$33,242 Vol.
Yes

Rules

If the 8th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by March 6, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

Ended

$518,658 Vol.

March 6

$36,782 Vol.

Yes

March 5

$32,572 Vol.

March 3

$29,191 Vol.

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?

$118,751 Vol.

Yes

Reaches space?

$17,757 Vol.

Yes

Super Heavy explodes?

$42,048 Vol.

Super Heavy survives re-entry?

$18,612 Vol.

Yes

Trump attends launch?

$22,798 Vol.

Successful splash down?

$28,717 Vol.

Launch before March 15?

$33,283 Vol.

Yes

Launch before March?

$104,906 Vol.

Launch before April?

$33,242 Vol.

Yes

About

Volume

$518,658

End Date

Feb 24, 2025

Created At

Jan 17, 2025, 1:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

68%

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

45%

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

Beware of external links.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

March 6
$36,782 Vol.
Yes

March 5
$32,572 Vol.
No

March 3
$29,191 Vol.
No

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$118,751 Vol.
Yes

Reaches space?
$17,757 Vol.
Yes

Super Heavy explodes?
$42,048 Vol.
No

Super Heavy survives re-entry?
$18,612 Vol.
Yes

Trump attends launch?
$22,798 Vol.
No

Successful splash down?
$28,717 Vol.
No

Launch before March 15?
$33,283 Vol.
Yes

Launch before March?
$104,906 Vol.
No

Launch before April?
$33,242 Vol.
Yes

Market Context