SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
$764,943 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
February 28
$13,865 Vol.
1%
February 28
$13,865 Vol.
1%
March 31
$29,893 Vol.
50%
March 31
$29,893 Vol.
50%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$97,631 Vol.
13%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$97,631 Vol.
13%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$72,165 Vol.
57%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$72,165 Vol.
57%
Successful splash down?
$48,558 Vol.
69%
Successful splash down?
$48,558 Vol.
69%
Rules
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Created At: Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Volume
$764,943End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
$764,943 Vol.
February 28
$13,865 Vol.
1%
March 31
$29,893 Vol.
50%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$97,631 Vol.
13%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$72,165 Vol.
57%
Successful splash down?
$48,558 Vol.
69%
About
Volume
$764,943End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.