SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11
$135,511 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
September 30
$22,815 Vol.
No
September 30
$22,815 Vol.
No
October 15
$16,300 Vol.
Yes
October 15
$16,300 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$8,352 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$8,352 Vol.
Yes
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$36,376 Vol.
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$36,376 Vol.
No
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$40,059 Vol.
Yes
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$40,059 Vol.
Yes
Successful splash down?
$11,609 Vol.
Yes
Successful splash down?
$11,609 Vol.
Yes
Rules
If the 11th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 11th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Created At: Sep 9, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$135,511End Date
Feb 28, 2026Created At
Sep 9, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11
$135,511 Vol.
September 30
$22,815 Vol.
No
October 15
$16,300 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$8,352 Vol.
Yes
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$36,376 Vol.
No
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$40,059 Vol.
Yes
Successful splash down?
$11,609 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$135,511End Date
Feb 28, 2026Created At
Sep 9, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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