Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 58% implied probability to silver futures (SI) surpassing $30 by June 30, propelled by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts following softer May CPI data at 3.3% YoY. Spot silver currently hovers at $29.45, up 18% YTD amid surging industrial demand for solar photovoltaics and electronics, coupled with supply disruptions in key producers like Mexico. A weakening US dollar index near 104 enhances appeal as an inflation hedge. Watch the June 7 nonfarm payrolls report and June 12 FOMC meeting for catalysts—strong jobs data could reinforce hawkish policy, pressuring prices below the threshold, while historical end-June seasonality favors modest precious metals gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
$3,529,901 Vol.
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
78%
↓ $60
53%
↓ $55
47%
↓ $45
32%
↓ $35
7%
$3,529,901 Vol.
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
78%
↓ $60
53%
↓ $55
47%
↓ $45
32%
↓ $35
7%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 58% implied probability to silver futures (SI) surpassing $30 by June 30, propelled by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts following softer May CPI data at 3.3% YoY. Spot silver currently hovers at $29.45, up 18% YTD amid surging industrial demand for solar photovoltaics and electronics, coupled with supply disruptions in key producers like Mexico. A weakening US dollar index near 104 enhances appeal as an inflation hedge. Watch the June 7 nonfarm payrolls report and June 12 FOMC meeting for catalysts—strong jobs data could reinforce hawkish policy, pressuring prices below the threshold, while historical end-June seasonality favors modest precious metals gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions