Name: What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?
Start: 2025-12-09T21:48:37.678152Z

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This market will resolve according to the date ET on which the 2025 TIME Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. 

This market will resolve based on TIME's cover. Other TIME webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to the date ET on which the 2025 TIME Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. 

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

December 9

December 13

December 17

December 10

December 14

December 18 or later

December 11

December 15

December 12

December 16

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the individual named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In the event that multiple individuals are named TIME's 2025 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of them is a woman.

If for any reason the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human is named TIME's Person of the Year for 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, any person or group of people will count as “humans.” This includes explicitly named individuals and their titles such as "Taylor Swift" or "Bad Bunny", general public designations such as “You” (i.e., internet users), and collective entities such as “The Protester” or “The Silence Breakers.”

In the event that multiple entities are named TIME's 2025 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "No" if at least one of them is not a human.

If, for any reason, the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. 

If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. 

The resolution source is official information from Time.

Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year, scheduled for December 17, 2025.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the BBC Sports Personality of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the BBC. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

This market will resolve according to the listed golfer who wins the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year Award.

If the award is not announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the PGA Tour (https://www.pgatour.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?

Public voting for StopAntisemitism’s 2025 Antisemite of the Year award runs through December 12, 2025 (see: https://stopantisemitism.org/asoty2025top10/)

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is named StopAntisemitism’s 2025 Antisemite of the Year.

If multiple people are named 2025 Antisemite of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose listed full name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no 2025 Antisemite of the Year has been declared by StopAntisemitism by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from StopAntisemitism (https://stopantisemitism.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

The winners of the Steam Award for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump , and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Trump divorce in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between October 8 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final trading day of 2025.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between July 30, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL DPOY is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Myles Garrett win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Artificial Intelligence is named TIME's Person of 2025
- GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam
- AI wins IMO gold medal
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark
- AI scores ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If resolution-relevant information regarding the events mentioned above is not available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If by that date there is still no clear information indicating that one of the listed events has occurred,  this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".  

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Team of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Vitality win the HLTV Team of the Year award?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Another Canada election called in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Obama in jail in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Umamusume: Pretty Derby win Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

This market will resolve "Yes" if the bill listed is signed into law by the President of the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A bill will only qualify if it receives the President’s signature and becomes law through the normal legislative process. Vetoed bills, bills passed only by one chamber, or those that fail to reach the President’s desk, will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Congress.gov or the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if ambiguity arises.

Will the Guidance Clarity Act of 2025 (S.81) be signed into law by December 31 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the Up Only podcast is publicly released to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


Up Only podcast released by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  

Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Air Force One aircraft is put into official service by the US Air Force between February 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Air Force One" refers to any aircraft built to replace one or both of the VC-25s presently used as the primary presidential aircrafts.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

December 9
$942 Vol.
<1%

December 10
$33,862 Vol.
3%

December 11
$19,756 Vol.
95%

December 12
$493 Vol.
2%

December 13
$543 Vol.
1%

December 14
$451 Vol.
<1%

December 15
$289 Vol.
2%

December 16
$425 Vol.
<1%

December 17
$540 Vol.
<1%

December 18 or later
$237 Vol.
<1%

Market Context

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

Rules

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

Market Context

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

About

Related

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

December 9$942 Vol.<1%In Reviewbuy Yes0.1¢buy No0.0¢

December 10$33,862 Vol.3%buy Yes5.8¢buy No98.9¢

December 11$19,756 Vol.95%buy Yes95¢buy No6¢

December 12$493 Vol.2%buy Yes4.0¢buy No99.9¢

December 13$543 Vol.1%buy Yes1.4¢buy No99.5¢

December 14$451 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

December 15$289 Vol.2%buy Yes4.2¢buy No0.0¢

December 16$425 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No0.0¢

December 17$540 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

December 18 or later$237 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No0.0¢

Market Context

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

Rules

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

Market Context

What day will Time 2025 Person of the Year be released?

About

Related

December 9
$942 Vol.
<1%

December 10
$33,862 Vol.
3%

December 11
$19,756 Vol.
95%

December 12
$493 Vol.
2%

December 13
$543 Vol.
1%

December 14
$451 Vol.
<1%

December 15
$289 Vol.
2%

December 16
$425 Vol.
<1%

December 17
$540 Vol.
<1%

December 18 or later
$237 Vol.
<1%