OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath record in March 2026, scoring 38% on the benchmark's grueling Tier 4—50 unpublished research-level math problems—and 50% on Tiers 1-3, signaling major leaps in large language model reasoning amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Opus 4.6, which matched 40% on easier tiers. This progress, from o3's 25% in late 2024, stems from enhanced chain-of-thought techniques and compute scaling, per Epoch AI evaluations. OpenAI's April purchase of verifiers for unsolved FrontierMath problems enables rigorous solution checks, fueling optimism for further gains. Traders watch for GPT-5.5 rumors and June 30 deadline, noting benchmark uncertainties like held-out sets could sway outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20,343 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
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$20,343 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath record in March 2026, scoring 38% on the benchmark's grueling Tier 4—50 unpublished research-level math problems—and 50% on Tiers 1-3, signaling major leaps in large language model reasoning amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Opus 4.6, which matched 40% on easier tiers. This progress, from o3's 25% in late 2024, stems from enhanced chain-of-thought techniques and compute scaling, per Epoch AI evaluations. OpenAI's April purchase of verifiers for unsolved FrontierMath problems enables rigorous solution checks, fueling optimism for further gains. Traders watch for GPT-5.5 rumors and June 30 deadline, noting benchmark uncertainties like held-out sets could sway outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$20,343End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath record in March 2026, scoring 38% on the benchmark's grueling Tier 4—50 unpublished research-level math problems—and 50% on Tiers 1-3, signaling major leaps in large language model reasoning amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Opus 4.6, which matched 40% on easier tiers. This progress, from o3's 25% in late 2024, stems from enhanced chain-of-thought techniques and compute scaling, per Epoch AI evaluations. OpenAI's April purchase of verifiers for unsolved FrontierMath problems enables rigorous solution checks, fueling optimism for further gains. Traders watch for GPT-5.5 rumors and June 30 deadline, noting benchmark uncertainties like held-out sets could sway outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,343End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath record in March 2026, scoring 38% on the benchmark's grueling Tier 4—50 unpublished research-level math problems—and 50% on Tiers 1-3, signaling major leaps in large language model reasoning amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Opus 4.6, which matched 40% on easier tiers. This progress, from o3's 25% in late 2024, stems from enhanced chain-of-thought techniques and compute scaling, per Epoch AI evaluations. OpenAI's April purchase of verifiers for unsolved FrontierMath problems enables rigorous solution checks, fueling optimism for further gains. Traders watch for GPT-5.5 rumors and June 30 deadline, noting benchmark uncertainties like held-out sets could sway outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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