November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.30-1.34 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.25-1.29 <1%
$2,554,058 Vol.
$2,554,058 Vol.
Nov 30, 2024
<1.20
$595,329 Vol.
No
<1.20
$595,329 Vol.
No
1.20-1.24
$555,925 Vol.
No
1.20-1.24
$555,925 Vol.
No
1.25-1.29
$308,546 Vol.
No
1.25-1.29
$308,546 Vol.
No
1.30-1.34
$246,733 Vol.
Yes
1.30-1.34
$246,733 Vol.
Yes
1.35-1.39
$383,210 Vol.
No
1.35-1.39
$383,210 Vol.
No
>1.39
$464,315 Vol.
No
>1.39
$464,315 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Created At: Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,554,058End Date
Nov 30, 2024Created At
Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.30-1.34 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.25-1.29 <1%
$2,554,058 Vol.
$2,554,058 Vol.
Nov 30, 2024
<1.20
$595,329 Vol.
No
1.20-1.24
$555,925 Vol.
No
1.25-1.29
$308,546 Vol.
No
1.30-1.34
$246,733 Vol.
Yes
1.35-1.39
$383,210 Vol.
No
>1.39
$464,315 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$2,554,058End Date
Nov 30, 2024Created At
Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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